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Oct 8, 2012
10/12
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the gallup polls pre- and post- debate show romney going from 5 percent behind to a dead heat. it is even bigger, a george washington university poll shows a 12 percentage point twinge with romney leading. there is a change in the dynamism that republicans feel. the republicans are more enjoyed. >>eric: and predebate, governor romney was at 45 percent and president obama was at 50 percent, a five-point lead by the president. post debate, october 4-6, that was 47 percent to 47 percent. that is a big swing. that is a gallup poll. that is a big move, isn't it? >>guest: that is a significant move. as i pensioned, among likely voters it has shifted more because one of the things that happened in campaigns and especially in the battleground states where you have even balanced between republicans and democrats, the key thing is to get your marginal supporters to vote, the lessize logical republicans and democrats. we have seen in this battleground poll among the body rat democrats a 12 percentage point drop in those who said they are extremely likely to vote in the past week. they hav
the gallup polls pre- and post- debate show romney going from 5 percent behind to a dead heat. it is even bigger, a george washington university poll shows a 12 percentage point twinge with romney leading. there is a change in the dynamism that republicans feel. the republicans are more enjoyed. >>eric: and predebate, governor romney was at 45 percent and president obama was at 50 percent, a five-point lead by the president. post debate, october 4-6, that was 47 percent to 47 percent....
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Oct 12, 2012
10/12
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it is close in the polls but things are moving in his direction. we have always had north carolina in his column. >>neil: what about pennsylvania? >>guest: it could be competitive. we have not moved that. that is leaning obama and the same with michigan. if i see more evidence it is becoming competitive we will take it into account but i don't want to encourage you. >>neil: it has to be a big box, by the way, of chunky monkey. >>guest: i know what you expect and neither of us needs any chunky monkey. >>neil: professor, thank you very much. in the meantime, moms and big bird and how they are showing exactly what is wrong with washington right now. we explain. you decide. chances are, you're not made of money, so don't overpay for motorcycle insurance. geico, see how much you could save. c'mon, michael! get in the game! [ male announcer ] don't have the hops for hoops with your buddies? lost your appetite for romance? and your mood is on its way down. you might not just be getting older. you might have a treatable condition called low testosterone or
it is close in the polls but things are moving in his direction. we have always had north carolina in his column. >>neil: what about pennsylvania? >>guest: it could be competitive. we have not moved that. that is leaning obama and the same with michigan. if i see more evidence it is becoming competitive we will take it into account but i don't want to encourage you. >>neil: it has to be a big box, by the way, of chunky monkey. >>guest: i know what you expect and neither...
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Oct 10, 2012
10/12
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>>neil: fox on top of mitt romney on a role keying in on the keystone state. a new poll showing him closing a double digit gap, two points from the president. this is person and ronald reagan was the last republican to win. maybe credit is, well, to this guy, republican pennsylvania governor, only one of four governors to get a grade of "a." in a new ca testimony o -- ca testimony o tax reform policies. the fine governor joining me now. governor, thank you for coming. >>guest: thanks for having me on today. >>neil: maybe your policies are helping, but it cuts both way. i am sure you just want them to feel their lot is improving regardless of who politically benefits. why do you think the polls are narrowing? what are they discovering? >>guest: well, in regard to the polls here in pennsylvania, what i see are people that are starting to go back to work. we are slowly getting the economy moving in pennsylvania. we have growth going on in our energy sector, in our biotech sector. we saved jobs down in philadelphia with the refineries that were going out of busine
>>neil: fox on top of mitt romney on a role keying in on the keystone state. a new poll showing him closing a double digit gap, two points from the president. this is person and ronald reagan was the last republican to win. maybe credit is, well, to this guy, republican pennsylvania governor, only one of four governors to get a grade of "a." in a new ca testimony o -- ca testimony o tax reform policies. the fine governor joining me now. governor, thank you for coming....
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Oct 11, 2012
10/12
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polls that it do serve even with moderating positions, they can and will win. the senator with me right now on the phone. he has a new book, to boot. senator, good to you have. >>guest: thanks for having me on i appreciate it. >>neil: senator, what is your science about the feeling of many of the mother conservative republicans some of whom have been taken back by the moderating positions of mitt romney. some say what happens in a general campaign and others suggest something more sinister. >>guest: i have been pleased he has not moderated that much. i lost a round in the primary with an etch a sketch thanks to a comment and they are going to reset and erase everything and start over and i see nod of that. has he changed his position on taxes? no, he was clear during the republican primary he would limit deductions and limit tax cuts to those who are under $50,000. he was criticized for that. but that was his position now and the idea that president obama saying he has run on this and now he is changing, that is not my analysis of mitt romney's position, but on
polls that it do serve even with moderating positions, they can and will win. the senator with me right now on the phone. he has a new book, to boot. senator, good to you have. >>guest: thanks for having me on i appreciate it. >>neil: senator, what is your science about the feeling of many of the mother conservative republicans some of whom have been taken back by the moderating positions of mitt romney. some say what happens in a general campaign and others suggest something more...
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Oct 9, 2012
10/12
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maybe mitt romney is it in ohio. after being given up for dead a poll shows the presidential race is now basically dead even there, and pat caddell says forget weather the numbers could be rigged this is a trend that is not rigged. you say these inroads of mitt romney appear to be making are real. >> they are big. and everywhere. this is a proving this is a national election. if the last two days in pennsylvania and michigan, two states everyone said were over, there have been two polls in each state showing a race three or two points for obama from 10 or 12. everything is happening across the board because it is a national election. the debate was a national real event. romney, who had been demonized by the obama attack machine, successfully, by the way, gets up there and is able to dispell it, the one thing that debate did, and he was good and he solved two things, he wasn't an ogre and he had ideas. >>neil: there was only one carter reagan debate and there was not a chance for cater to come back and prove himself.
maybe mitt romney is it in ohio. after being given up for dead a poll shows the presidential race is now basically dead even there, and pat caddell says forget weather the numbers could be rigged this is a trend that is not rigged. you say these inroads of mitt romney appear to be making are real. >> they are big. and everywhere. this is a proving this is a national election. if the last two days in pennsylvania and michigan, two states everyone said were over, there have been two polls...
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Oct 15, 2012
10/12
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not romney in 2012. i'm talking reagan in 1980. 32 years ago this very week, that was the apology, and it's true. reagan and carter were tried in -- tied in the popular vote polls but not so tight in the swing state polls. that's where carter had the advantage and reagan was frantically cobblin cobbling tor the states would have to win. funny how wrong the polls were but the poll-obsessing campaigns were. if reagan was worried at the time, he didn't seem to show it. bemused by his aides constantly shuffling state strategies, he reportedly a loo looked at their coded maps and blurted out they all look winnable to me. they laughed, but he wasn't kidding. turned out he would have the last laugh, and they were all almost winnable to him, 44 in all. 32 years ago he didn't seem to have a chance at least lec electorally. no wonder he liked to laugh about his age. he was the only guy who remembered history. i'm not saying history repeats itself. i am saying what the experts tell you will happen almost never, eve
not romney in 2012. i'm talking reagan in 1980. 32 years ago this very week, that was the apology, and it's true. reagan and carter were tried in -- tied in the popular vote polls but not so tight in the swing state polls. that's where carter had the advantage and reagan was frantically cobblin cobbling tor the states would have to win. funny how wrong the polls were but the poll-obsessing campaigns were. if reagan was worried at the time, he didn't seem to show it. bemused by his aides...